Maybe, it all depends on if he shows up ■■■■ed off or all smiles and hugs. He has some really good wins on guys that could starch McGregor on a good night, like: Charles Oliveira, James Krause (both currently on 6 fight win streak), Jeremy Stephens, Adriano Martins who beat some really good russians, Barboza had a string of great victories for a bit, Alex Oliveira who's downright nasty in some fights, and recently Al Iaquinta who went the distance with Khabib, something McGregor couldn't do. To me its all about the first round and a half, after that McGregor loses his spirit and if it goes to the mat he is submitted for sure. But yeah generally speaking I have McGregor but I wouldn't put money on that fight like I would Reyes.
I really think McGregor is out of his league against big guys and Cerrone will have a huge size advantage on the Irish Dwarf. Nate Diaz won both those fights against him IMO, and he's garbage. Just don't leave it in the judges hands. He really doesn't have as much power as everyone thinks he has. He sucker punched a 50 year old guy at a bar and the guy kept talking to his friends and ignored him lol. Cerrone needs to tear his legs up and slow him down, keep the distance with kicks the first round or so, then he can go for the kill.