Suggestion:. Let's turn our attention to what TFP likes most. SPECULATION!
Considering what we have seen confirmed for A17, and what seems to be important to going Gold, what do we think is gonna go down in A17?
And does anyone think it's possible this is a first pass at full feature installment in prep for beta?
I think that what we see in Alpha 17 is the revision of the physic system. I don't know what that all entails, but I am going how things work and fix the problems, such as the minibike. We do know the hog has been added along with the bicycle, and I think they will fix the problem in smell, refine stealth, and revamp the looting system, give the more dangerous zombies not just some loot but some good loot to make it worthwhile to fight them.
When will it be released? I don't think before January; July was when A16 was released and even though there was a remark somewhere that a17 wouldn't take as long, they have new people to get trained, all the problems to fix, what is really important to add so it can take at the least eight months or more.
Prep for beta? No, not possible. They still have too much to add, we don't yet if the raiders and NPC are going to be in a17 and the Duke boss, when will he be added? I can't see all that being ready unless they take a whole year and I can't see that happening, there will be bad publicity for it taking so long, look how bad it was with A16. As for how many more alphas, at lest 18 and probably 19. To clarify, there will be a alpha 18 and a alpha 19, it could, maybe, possibly be alpha 20 but I don't think it will go that far. But only TFPs know.
The problem is that a large majority of people don't realize or understand how long it can take a game from day of creation to date it is released, and that is gold release. Many get Early Access on Steam as the release for beta.
Empyerion was created in 2013, Planet Explorers I think in 2014, probably earlier, and Subnautica in 2013. PE is fully finished and now gold from what I read. Subnautica is supposed to be released as gold during Oct or Nov, Empyerion is getting close to beta I think. Those are just three games I own and have some info on.
This can cause unreasonable expectation from the general public, so if they take three, four or five more years it can cause problems for when they create another game. I hate to see that happen so I am hoping that it doesn't take more than one to one and a half years to go gold. I want to see more games that TFPs create, hopefully a sequel to this game, maybe.