Wow. Take your own 'advice' there, bud. I know what you said and I know what I said.
Do you?
Clearly you don't, and you seem to suffer from reading comprehension issues on top of the poor math abilities you've displayed.
I used your 10 4% chances equals 40% logic and made an analogy to the lottery (Because you mentioned it) AS AN EXAMPLE.
What part of "let's say" eludes you?
I didnt say that you said the lottery has a 1% chance of winning. Im using a 1% chance as an example to keep it simple for you. I used your own erroneous equation to arrive at the same erroneous results.
If you can't understand that...well, I can see why you're struggling with the game...
I kept my first reply short and simple and you couldn't even comprehend that, so...
Have a nice day, I'm done