“more likely”, but nothing definite, from what I’ve been reading on the forums, based on people theorizing that TFP wouldn’t let a year go by without an update, etc. but there’s also a lot of people constantly reminding everyone that no date has been set and it’s all unofficial as TFP now never sets a date (or officially publicizes it) as they don’t want backlash for skipping the date.
And this too. I think? Quantum anything can be true, false, or any state in between, or even multiple states at once? Maybe it’s possible some time from Now and in the future they’ll release it, but also simultaneously and in all possible timelines, not release it

. I would also guess it’s possible (through this quantum informational state) it has already been released, but no one is sure about it 100%. I guess you can know with certainty it’s position (when it is released) or it’s state (if it’s released or not) but never both at the same time?